Image: 

Decision Support for Uncertain Climate Futures: The Confidence Trap

Date: 
Thursday, April 27, 2017
Event Time: 
12:00 pm
Event Type: 
Special Lecture
Location: 
ENR2
Room: 
S107
Speaker(s): 
Jeff Arnold, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

For more than 200 years, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) has had primary responsibility for water resource operations on most major U.S. river systems. Managing the impacts of climate variability and change is a significant challenge; projections of specific, possible threats and impacts to regional scale hydrology are still uncertain enough that explicit guidance is needed on their interpretation and use. This talk will describe new approaches to helping decision makers understand uncertainties in managing real river systems, aiming to avoid communication issues about confidence while respecting uncertainties.